The Treasurer is promising that inflation will decline by 0.75% as a direct result of the 2024-25 Federal Budget initiatives including
energy relief for all households, a boost to Commonwealth Rent Assistance, and the freezing of the maximum co-payment on the
Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme.
This is a pre-election budget for the people with everyone getting a little something to ease cost of living pressures. Like the Price
is Right
gameshow, it will all come down to the price paid at the checkout. If the consumer price index (CPI) returns to target by the end of 2024
off the back of the Budget initiatives as the Government anticipates, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) may be inclined to reduce
interest rates. However, at this stage, the RBA is not expecting inflation to return to the target range of 2-3% until the second half of
2025, and to the midpoint in 2026.
The 2023-24 surplus has increased to $9.3bn but is expected to decline to a deficit of $28.3bn in 2024-25, driven primarily by the Stage 3
tax cuts.
For business, the Government is picking winners through targeted public investment with its Future
Made in Australia Framework
that they are betting will pave the way for private investment in net zero transformation and the strengthening of Australia’s domestic
economic resilience.
For small and medium business, there is a little but not a lot - an extension of the $20k instant asset write-off until 30 June 2025 and a
$325 rebate to eligible businesses towards 2024-25 energy bills.
For foreign residents, the capital gains tax (CGT) regime will be amended to broaden the type of assets subject to CGT and introduce a
modified 365-day principal asset testing period.
Those with large superannuation balances will be disappointed that the 30% tax on super earnings on balances above $3 million remains in
place, this is set to commence from 1 July 2025.